Mentor Capital, Inc. and CI Companies

$10M Cancer Assets
3M Basic Shares

 Trading Chart

 

$5/Share - Sr. Securities Analyst

 Mentor Capital, Inc. (MNTR)        | Research Report   

         " Public Market (MNTR) Funding for Leading Edge Cancer Companies" 

 

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  Analysis -   October 21, 2009

 Howard N. Stillman | Senior Securities Analyst

 

 

                  

Speculative Buy       

 

       PRICE OBJECTIVE:     $5 / share 

 

Oct. 21, 2009 Price:                      $1.89 / share 

 

Range since New Cancer Focus:      $1.01 - $2.85 

(July 10 - October 21, 2009) 

 

Capitalization Outstanding:           980,000 shares 

 

Approximate Float:                        780,000 shares    

 

Warrants Outstanding at $1, $3, $5 & $7 per share

 MNTR vs S&P Graph



 

 

Summary

           Mentor Capital is well poised to become a significant participant in the expanding medical sector of Cancer Immunotherapy, an emerging approach to overcome the historic medical nemesis of Cancer. This is starting with MNTR's initial $2.2 million or 20% investment in Quantum Immunologics, Inc. (QI), a private company. The QI agreement contemplates "there is potential for significantly increased investment, or even merger of the Parties."

 

Medical Treatment Methodology

           Quantum Immunologics is conducting FDA authorized Phase I/II trials for its metastatic breast cancer treatment to test the goal of enabling the human immune system to identify and kill breast cancer cells with no harm to other healthy tissue in the body. This is attempted to be accomplished by facilitating the absorption by human dendritic cells in the blood of the Oncofetal Antigen (OFA).  OFA is believed to be found on all cancers but is absent from normal cells. When prepared by QI outside the body and re-injected into the patient, these dendritic cells contain OFA to pass to the body’s immune system to enable certain white blood cells to identify and kill breast cancer cells previously not recognized by the natural body defenses. The process involves drawing the patient’s blood, capturing of the OFA antigen by dendritic cells and re-injecting this blood into the patient’s body in three monthly treatments.  A positive immune response is hoped to be felt after 24 hours and stabilization or regression of the breast cancer is the testing goal to be initially evaluated within four months. In any immunotherapy, mild flu-like symptoms are experienced by the patients  as compared to the severe side effects experienced after chemotherapy, radiation, or surgical treatments. The cost of treatment is estimated at $30,000 to $60,000 per patient compared with an average of $100,000 for late stage traditional cancer treatments.

 

Market Position

           The National Cancer Institute estimates the new annual breast cancer cases and related deaths among women in the U.S. to be 192,370 and 40,170, respectively.  MNTR estimates about 40% of late stage patients may enroll for the QI proprietary dendritic cell OFA cancer immunotherapy.  This calculates to approximately a  $900 million revenue opportunity in this country. A similar market potential in Europe with additional worldwide sales would represent a market size of around $2 billion in annual revenue. The various patent and associated licensing rights are well established and are being professionally maintained and extended.

 

           Management

           Mentor and Quantum Immunologic management teams have decades of experience in finance, science and medical fields and posses the capabilities to achieve future goals and profitable growth accomplishments as they successfully execute their business plans.

 

Capital Markets

           The company’s 28 million in stepped warrants could raise almost $25 million in new capital near term and up to $145 million if completely exercised.  This should provide sufficient capital to support QI programs through clinical trials and into the commercial introduction of its medical technologies. Outside funding is also being pursued to abet these endeavors as well as liquidating existing investment positions.

 

Outlook

           Mentor is pursuing a dual program of not only supporting the Quantum Immunologics' operating goals, but also considering select acquisitions in this exciting field to expand its operating base. This is motivated by the fact that the OFA marker has been found on many types of cancer, but not on normal tissue. It is interesting to note that the common stock of Dendreon Corporation, pursuing a similar technology to treat prostate cancer, has appreciated 1,000% in the past six months of this year.TheMNTRsharesatcurrent pricelevelsrepresentexcitingspeculative prospects to risk oriented investors seeking material capital gains potential.

 

 

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Howard N. Stillman has over 20 years of Wall Street experience and served as Director of Research at two New York Stock Exchange firms.  There he was approved by the New York Stock Exchange as a Supervisory Analyst and held membership in the New York Society of Security Analysts. Mr. Stillman earned an MBA in Finance from New York University and taught finance and economics at the college level.   He has often been called as an expert witness in investment fraud cases and has participated in over 100 such cases since 1987.

         

 

           Analyst's Notice: This report is read at your own risk. The report was prepared for a fee of $6,000. It is based upon information believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed as to its accuracy or completeness.

The Mentor Capital Cancer Immunotherapy Index ©

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